The latest Roy Morgan poll is out, and it's not just bad news for Phil Goff and the Labour Party; it's really bad news. As we noted in our previous post today, this round of polls will have included the period around the respective leaders sharing their vision for election year. National's vision includes the partial sale of some state assets, without the government relinquishing its controlling stake. Apparently, that was going to be the circuit-breaker
Not so; check this out:
The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for John Key’s National-led Government has risen to 55% (up 2%). Support for Prime Minister Key’s National Party is 52.5% (up 3.5%), the Maori Party 1.5% (down 1.5%), ACT NZ 0.5% (down 0.5%) and United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%).
Support for Opposition Parties has fallen to 45% (down 2%) with the Labour Party 33% (down 1.5%), Greens 8.5%, (up 2%), New Zealand First 2.5% (down 3%) and others 1% (up 0.5%).
If a National Election were held today the National Party would be returned to Government.
The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen 6 points to 135.5 with 60% (up 3%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 24.5% (down 3%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’
Oh dear, oh dear, oh dear. Where does Labour go from here? Do they flag the 2011 election, as they have the Botany by-election as unwinnable, then roll Phil Goff post-election? Or do they ignore the Goff Accord, the agreement reached when Helen Clark stood aside that Phil Goff's leadership would be safe until the election, and install a new leadership team in the hope that the numbers change?
Labour MP's head back to Wellington tonight and tomorrow for the final week of the first Parliamentary sitting of the year. We have little doubt as to what will be being discussed in those little meetings that take place in offices and other places, especially by the Carter Seventeen.
Footnote: And whilst Roy Morgan might have bought bad news for Phil Goff, we are pleased that support for Winston Peters has more than halved in the last month. Long may that continue!