The latest Roy Morgan poll is out, and it's not just bad news for Phil Goff and the Labour Party; it's really bad news. As we noted in our previous post today, this round of polls will have included the period around the respective leaders sharing their vision for election year. National's vision includes the partial sale of some state assets, without the government relinquishing its controlling stake. Apparently, that was going to be the circuit-breaker
Not so; check this out:
The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for John Key’s National-led Government has risen to 55% (up 2%). Support for Prime Minister Key’s National Party is 52.5% (up 3.5%), the Maori Party 1.5% (down 1.5%), ACT NZ 0.5% (down 0.5%) and United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%).
Support for Opposition Parties has fallen to 45% (down 2%) with the Labour Party 33% (down 1.5%), Greens 8.5%, (up 2%), New Zealand First 2.5% (down 3%) and others 1% (up 0.5%).
If a National Election were held today the National Party would be returned to Government.
The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has risen 6 points to 135.5 with 60% (up 3%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 24.5% (down 3%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’
Oh dear, oh dear, oh dear. Where does Labour go from here? Do they flag the 2011 election, as they have the Botany by-election as unwinnable, then roll Phil Goff post-election? Or do they ignore the Goff Accord, the agreement reached when Helen Clark stood aside that Phil Goff's leadership would be safe until the election, and install a new leadership team in the hope that the numbers change?
Labour MP's head back to Wellington tonight and tomorrow for the final week of the first Parliamentary sitting of the year. We have little doubt as to what will be being discussed in those little meetings that take place in offices and other places, especially by the Carter Seventeen.
Footnote: And whilst Roy Morgan might have bought bad news for Phil Goff, we are pleased that support for Winston Peters has more than halved in the last month. Long may that continue!
3 comments:
Please forgive me for being reckless but a quick visit to the darkside revealed one post between dred blurt and the very substandard on the three polls, and that merely triumphs an apology from TV3 for their headline. Takes ignoring things and hoping they go away to a new level.
This would have to be the worst time for National since the election and still the socialists wallow with their ginga leader trying to fight off the bilious bitch and the margin of error. Will they hold their nerve and follow Goofy to the abyss or will they take comfort from John Key's early election date announcement and have another BBQ, it is becoming more autumnal down here but I guess the weather is still mild enough in Auckland.
Why all the print agonising over Labour's lack-lustre performance?
If we step back for the quite silly dichotomy we can see that the real issue is that NZers are not politically engaged enough to recognise that Key has led the most disasterous govt in decades. It's been cock-up after fuck-up and people are still in a "whatever" mentality.
how tragic will this country get before people wake up? I guess it's just wait for the next useless poll...
your invisible friend.
Yes - We can't have Winston Peters and his party back in. I mean, how would the most corrupt National Gov't in NZ history continue to flog the low and middle income earners while pandering to the stinking rich? Who needs free Drs visits for kids, looking after the elderly, and exposing billion dollar tax scams anyway. My prediction sees NZ First get in this coming election with at least 7%, and Key floundering within months of Peters being back in Parliament, when he exposes National again, again, and again. Cheer up though oh snobby ones - you can always have a cocktail party to commiserate. :-)
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